![]() ![]() military involvement in and over Iraq that continues to this day. The First Gulf War in 1990 lasted only 100 hours, but it gave way to three decades of direct U.S. In some cases, a short war proved more illusion than fact. Bush administration's intervention in Panama. Most of these have been small affairs against second-tier powers, like the Reagan administration's attack on Grenada or the George H.W. Today, the war in Ukraine has not resulted in a quick win for either side-but it is not a stalemate, either, as the battlefield continues to evolve. The Iraq War lasted an order of magnitude longer than Rumsfeld predicted, and Afghanistan turned into Washington's longest war. MacArthur's push towards the Yalu triggered Chinese intervention, which prolonged the conflict by years, not months. ![]() The Spanish-American War devolved into a yearslong insurgency in the Philippines. The Civil War lasted four years and remains one of the bloodiest conflicts in U.S. History has not been kind to any of these predictions. The media, for its part, has labeled the war a stalemate during just about every lull in fighting. ![]() Many more have judged the war unwinnable and called for a quick end through negotiations. As the Russian advance sagged, a handful of commentators then predicted a speedy Ukrainian victory. intelligence community, and most outside experts predicted a Russian victory in a matter of days. In 2022, as it became clear Russia was about to invade Ukraine, U.S. ” Multiple administrations underestimated ( PDF) the timeline of the war in Afghanistan.Ī similar obsession with short wars colors the coverage of the Ukraine war today. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld predicted that the Iraq War “certainly isn't going to last any longer than. Douglas MacArthur promised ( PDF) that his soldiers would “eat Christmas dinner at home.” In 2003, U.S. troops neared the Yalu River in November 1950 during the Korean War, Gen. Secretary of State John Hay expected the Spanish-American War to be a “splendid little war,” culminating in a quick victory for the newly emerging global power. At the start of the American Civil War, Washington gentry traveled to watch the First Battle of Bull Run-to partake of a spectacle they presumed would soon end. Americans have long been fixated on the idea of the short, decisive war. ![]()
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